Showing posts with label Portugal. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Portugal. Show all posts

Wednesday, 6 April 2011

And so it grows.


So Portugal have become the latest region to move from sovereign state to component of a Federal Europe by asking for a bail-out.

No doubt we'll have to put our hands in our pockets to support them. I feel for the Portuguese people. They are our oldest allies.

Actually, I don't feel for them at all. They have demanded that they continue the lifestyle that has proven so unsustainable and so they see their country's independence sold for 70 billion pieces of silver. We may have gone wading in during the peninsula war, but in the end it looks like Portugal will become a part of a super-European state after all. What a good job that France isn't governed by a touchy, short-tempered short arse anymore.

Oh. . .

It isn't all bad news, as this brings the gaze firmly onto Spain's economy as people run from one burning house to the next in an attempt to safeguard their cash. I just don't see how Europe will be able to afford a bail out for Spain, and the request will come. If they say no, then all bets are off. If they say yes then watch the German financiers have a fit to end all fits.

Interesting times. . .

Wednesday, 23 March 2011

Obrigado, Portugal.

It would seem that the economically functioning part of the Eurozone (and no doubt those EU members with the common sense to have stayed out of the Euro as well) will have to put their hands in their pockets to support the economically destitute part again.

According to the BBC, the Portuguese parliament has voted down the budget of spending cuts and tax rises which the Prime Minister was kinda banking on. As a result he's resigned and there will likely be an election to follow.

I'm delighted, OK, it may cost us a few more million, but to be honest, we're so in hock at the moment, it doesn't really matter. But this will cause more discontent in Germany. They grumbled over Greece, there was even the stamping of feet over Ireland, who knows what reaction this will bring forth, as a bail-out is pretty much a certainty.

Empires tend to evolve into existence, and with a couple of exceptions, tend to fade away. Like all quick build projects, the EU was made of concrete, it is cracked and the water is seeping in. As soon as that happens the fate of the building is sealed. Portugal is another squall.

Portugal can be bailed out, it won't empty the coffers completely, but what it will do is increase the burden further. Portugal is in this mess because they've had the same problems as Greece and Ireland, but here's the important bit - not as bad. But as people ran from Greece to Ireland in panic over their government bonds, they've also run in panic from Ireland to Portugal. As soon as everyone breathes a sigh of relief over their Portuguese bonds, they'll go running to the next worst place, Spain. If Spain goes under, then all bets are off, there's no halfway practical way that Spain can be bailed out, there just isn't the money. The financial institutions will complain loudly enough, but what happens when the people on the street find their taxes put up to bail out a foreign power?

Van Remploy and Barroso can go on about nation states not existing as much as they like, but they'll find out how many people reject that notion when the industrialised workers of the Rhineland find their savings being raided again to bail out a load of Portuguese and Spanish fishermen.

We owe the Portuguese parliament a debt of thanks, because the only way we're going to get out of the EU anytime soon is via financial collapse, there's not a hope of us being given a referendum.

Of course, the irony is that the Portuguese have rejected it because the idea of the something for nothing, big brothers and sisters picking up the bill culture winking out of existence is just too horrible to consider. They honestly think that by rejecting the budget they're ensuring the continuation of the life they've become accustomed to over the last 21 years. They're not. The other irony is, that by rejecting the budget, they are ensuring their indebtedness to the machine. Had they passed it, following an extended period of discomfort they'd have probably come out the other side.

However, their actions may, just, provide our salvation.